Iran War: Trump, I will Remember
The USA-Iran war is not at all dissimilar from the aggression carried out against Ukraine by Russia.
Iran soldiers killed a lot of young people protesting against the status-quo, but helping these protesting people do not seem the goal of the USA right now.
I am not a fan of Iran (for sure), but diplomacy was able to gain a lot more results without killing people with bombs.
At the opposite, this war has the following effects:
- Create a oil-shortage to China, slowing down China economy on goods production.
- Give Russia a means of selling its oil to rest of the world. Remember Russia economy was not in a good shape, due to current Embargo. Now it can continue its Ukraine war.
As side effects:
- Israel can continue expanding its territories and justify any measure against Gaza/Palestine (we are in war, after all).
- China could justify a Taiwan attack: who will blame them?
Oil price is increasing, and this will be a major problem for energy-dependent economies without other options (like Italy).
We are rooted in Europe. Giving the current geopolitical condition we need to start thinking to this situation as a proof of the total risk keep following USA and Israel on this course of action. It si very sad to say this, but this war will not be quick or easy.
Trump is very erratic in its behavior: keep following him is a risky business, even from a simple economic-standpoint. Nasty clouds are approaching: Palantir cloud-powered surveillance are a threat to USA freedom right now, and they have the power to scan all our writings even outside USA.
And I am still luck to be able to say this because I am in Europe. I have very little hope my current Meloni’s administration (or Europe at all) will be able to quickly react to what I depicted above.
Feel free to comment below, always respecting other points-of-view.